Is Saudi Arabia the Big Bad Wolf of Paris Climate Talks? (New Internationalist)

Is Saudi Arabia the big bad wolf of the Paris climate talks?
By Kyla Mandel and Brendan Montague |

The oil producing giant blocked efforts in Paris to limit global warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels, Kyla Mandel and Brendan Montague report.

Visit the #NICOP21 Paris hub

Oil rich Saudi Arabia is leading a campaign to sabotage attempts by countries on the front line of climate change to include an ambitious 1.5C target for global warming in the COP21 agreement currently being negotiated in Paris.

Wealthy nations – including Germany, France and now the United States – have all signalled support for including references to the lower target in the final text, as negotiators reach the end of the first week of negotiations.

The oil producing giant Thursday night blocked efforts to include references in the Paris deal to a UN report that says it would be better to limit global warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels rather than the current 2C target.

Saleemul Huq, Director of the International Centre for Climate and Development, argues that the difference between a temperature increase of 1.5 degrees and 2 degrees ‘is roughly 1.5 million people who will fall through the cracks and most of them will be in vulnerable and developing countries.’

Thoriq Ibrahim, the Maldives envoy and chair of the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS), said the 1.5C was a ‘moral threshold’ for his country.

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Twilight of the Bakken field?

BakkenProd-Dec15

The above charts come from the monthly Energy Information Agency’s report, “Drilling Productivity Report.”  The crucial thing to realize about ALL of the fracked oil and gas fields in the USA (and anywhere there’s shale) is that the individual wells, as soon as drilled and completed (including fracturing using copious amounts of silica sand from Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, and other regions) these wells begin to deplete (production drops off) immediately.  After Day One.

The Oil Production chart above seems to be indicating a Peak Oil production moment in about mid-2015.  Certainly the production since that time has dropped off.

More troubling for anyone who has relocated out there to North Dakota to work in these oil drilling sites, is that the daily production per well has dropped by 24% — from 144 barrels per day (averaged over all 10,000 wells now active in the 5-county Bakken field in NoDak) down to just 109 today. (SourceL: North Dakota Industrial Commission, NDIC).

What does the future hold?  A return to the ongoing peak of oil production in these United States, but more importantly, return to peak of global oil production.